PóLyA
URN

R:1
50.0%
B:1
THE VESSEL
DRAWS: 0
CONVERGENCE

Parameters of Chaos

What is this?

THE PÓLYA URN is a mathematical model of probability and contagion.

  1. Start with a vessel containing Red and Blue entities.
  2. Extract an entity at random.
  3. Return it to the vessel.
  4. Add c MORE entities of the SAME COLOR you just drew.

The rich get richer. Early random fluctuations heavily dictate the long-term future. The ratio of colors will eventually converge to a random limit, freezing chaos into destiny. staff @street66.com